Scott Stewart
For the past three weeks we
have been running a series in the Security Weekly that focuses on some of the
fundamentals of terrorism. First, we noted that terrorism is a tactic not
exclusive to any one group and that the tactic would not
end even if the jihadist threat were to disappear. We then discussed
how actors planning terrorist attacks have to follow a planning process and
noted that there are times during that process when such plots are vulnerable
to detection.
Last week we discussed how one
of the most important vulnerabilities during the terrorism planning process is
surveillance, and we outlined
what bad surveillance looks like and described some basic tools to
help identify those conducting it. At the end of last week's Security Weekly we
also discussed how living in a state of paranoia and looking for a terrorist
behind every bush not only is dangerous to one's physical and mental health but
also results in poor security. This brings us to this week, where we want
to discuss the fundamentals of situational awareness and explain how people can
practice the technique in a relaxed and sustainable way.
Situational awareness is very
important, not just for personal security but as a fundamental building block
in collective security. Because of this importance, Stratfor has written about
situational awareness many times in the past. However, we believe it merits
repeating again in order to share these concepts with our new readers as well
as serve as a reminder for our longtime readers.
More Mindset than Skill
It is important to note that
situational awareness -- being aware of one's surroundings and identifying
potential threats and dangerous situations -- is more of a mindset than a hard
skill. Because of this, situational awareness is not something that can be
practiced only by highly trained government agents or specialized corporate
security teams. Indeed, it can be exercised by anyone with the will and the
discipline to do so. Situational awareness is not only important for
recognizing terrorist threats, but it also serves to identify criminal behavior
and other dangerous situations.
The primary element in
establishing this mindset is first to recognize that threats exist. Ignorance
or denial of a threat make a person's chances of quickly recognizing an
emerging threat and avoiding it highly unlikely. Bad things do happen. Apathy,
denial and complacency can be deadly.
A second important element of
the proper mindset is understanding the need to take responsibility for one's
own security. The resources of any government are finite and the authorities
simply cannot be everywhere and cannot stop every potential terrorist attack or
other criminal action. The same principle applies to private security at
businesses or other institutions, like places of worship. Therefore, people
need to look out for themselves and their neighbors.
Another important facet of
this mindset is learning to trust your "gut" or intuition. Many times
a person's subconscious can notice subtle signs of danger that the conscious
mind has difficulty quantifying or articulating. I have interviewed many
victims who experienced such feelings of danger prior to an incident but who
chose to ignore them. Trusting your gut and avoiding a potentially dangerous situation
may cause you a bit of inconvenience, but ignoring such feelings can lead to
serious trouble.
The discipline part of
practicing situational awareness refers to the conscious effort required to pay
attention to gut feelings and to surrounding events even while you are busy and
distracted. At such times even obvious hostile activity can go unnoticed, so
individuals need to learn to be observant even while doing other things.
Levels of Awareness
People typically operate on
five distinct levels of awareness. There are many ways to describe these levels
("Cooper's colors," for example, which is a system frequently used in
law enforcement and military training), but perhaps the most effective way to illustrate
the differences between the levels is to compare them to the different degrees
of attention we practice while driving. For our purposes here we will refer to
the five levels as "tuned out," "relaxed awareness,"
"focused awareness," "high alert" and "comatose."
The first level, tuned out, is
similar to when you are driving in a very familiar environment or are engrossed
in thought, a daydream, a song on the radio or even by the kids fighting in the
backseat. Increasingly, cellphone calls and texting are also causing people to
tune out while they drive. Have you ever arrived somewhere in your vehicle
without even really thinking about your drive there? If so, then you've
experienced being tuned out.
The second level of awareness,
relaxed awareness, is like defensive driving. This is a state in which you are
relaxed but are also watching the other cars on the road and are looking at the
road ahead for potential hazards. For example, if you are approaching an
intersection and another driver looks like he may not stop, you tap your brakes
to slow your car in case he does not. Defensive driving does not make you
weary, and you can drive this way for a long time if you have the
discipline to keep yourself from slipping into tuned-out mode. If you are practicing
defensive driving you can still enjoy the trip, look at the scenery and listen
to the radio, but you cannot allow yourself to get so engrossed in those
distractions that they exclude everything else. You are relaxed and enjoying
your drive, but you are still watching for road hazards, maintaining a safe
following distance and keeping an eye on the behavior of the drivers around
you.
The next level of awareness,
focused awareness, is like driving in hazardous road conditions. You need to
practice this level of awareness when you are driving on icy or slushy roads --
or the pothole-infested roads populated by erratic drivers that exist in many
developing countries. When you are driving in such an environment, you need to
keep two hands on the wheel at all times and have your attention totally
focused on the road and the other drivers around you. You don't dare take your
eyes off the road or let your attention wander. There is no time for cellphone
calls or other distractions. The level of concentration required for this type
of driving makes it extremely tiring and stressful. A drive that you normally
would not think twice about will totally exhaust you under these conditions
because it demands prolonged and total concentration.
The fourth level of awareness
is high alert. This is the level that induces an adrenaline rush, a prayer and
a gasp for air all at the same time. This is what happens when that car you are
watching at the intersection ahead doesn't stop at the stop sign and pulls out
right in front of you. High alert can be scary, but at this level you are still
able to function. You can hit your brakes and keep your car under control. In
fact, the adrenaline rush you get at this stage can sometimes aid your
reflexes.
The last level of awareness,
comatose, is what happens when you literally freeze at the wheel and cannot
respond to stimuli, either because you have fallen asleep or, at the other end
of the spectrum, because you are petrified. It is this panic-induced paralysis
that concerns us most in relation to situational awareness. The comatose level
is where you go into shock, your brain ceases to process information and you
simply cannot react to the reality of the situation. Many times when this
happens, a person can go into denial, believing that "this can't be
happening to me," or the person can feel as though he or she is observing
the event rather than actually participating in it. Often, the passage of time
will seem to grind to a halt. Crime victims frequently report experiencing this
sensation and being unable to act during an unfolding crime.
Finding the Right Level
Now that we've discussed the
different levels of awareness, let's focus on identifying what level is ideal
at a given time. The body and mind both require rest, so we have to spend
several hours each day at the comatose level while asleep. When we are sitting
at our homes watching a movie or reading a book, it is perfectly fine to
operate in the tuned-out mode. However, some people will attempt to maintain
the tuned-out mode in decidedly inappropriate environments (e.g., when they are
out on the street at night in a Third World barrio), or they will maintain a
mindset wherein they deny that criminals can victimize them. "That
couldn't happen to me, so there's no need to watch for it." This results
in their being tuned out to any potential threats.
If you are tuned out while you
are driving and something happens -- say, a child runs out into the road or a
car stops quickly in front of you -- you will not see the problem coming. This
usually means that you either do not see the hazard in time to avoid it and you
hit it, or you totally panic, freeze and cannot react to it -- neither is good.
These reactions (or lack of reactions) occur because it is very difficult to
change mental states quickly, especially when the adjustment requires moving
several steps, say, from tuned out to high alert. It is like trying to shift
your car directly from first gear into fifth and it shudders and stalls. Many
times, when people are forced to make this mental jump and they panic (and
stall), they go into shock and will actually freeze and be unable to take any
action -- they go comatose. This happens not only when driving but also when a
criminal catches someone totally unaware and unprepared. While training does
help people move up and down the alertness continuum, it is difficult for even
highly trained individuals to transition from tuned out to high alert. This is
why law enforcement and military personnel receive so much training on
situational awareness.
It is critical to stress here
that situational awareness does not mean being paranoid or obsessively
concerned about security. In fact, people simply cannot operate in a state of
focused awareness for extended periods, and high alert can be maintained only
for very brief periods before exhaustion sets in. The
"fight-or-flight" response can be very helpful if it can be
controlled. When it gets out of control, however, a constant stream of
adrenaline and stress is simply not healthy for the body and mind, and this
also hampers security. Therefore, operating constantly in a state of high alert
is not the answer, nor is operating for prolonged periods in a state of focused
alert, which can also be demanding and completely enervating. The human body
was simply not designed to operate under constant stress. All people, even
highly skilled operators, require time to rest and recover.
Because of this, the basic
level of situational awareness that should be practiced most of the time
is relaxed awareness, a state of mind that can be maintained indefinitely
without all the stress and fatigue associated with focused awareness or high
alert. Relaxed awareness is not tiring, and it allows you to enjoy life while
rewarding you with an effective level of personal security. When people are in
an area where there is potential danger (which, in reality, is almost
anywhere), they should go through most of the day in a state of relaxed
awareness. Then if they spot something out of the ordinary that could be a
threat, they can "dial up" to a state of focused awareness and take a
careful look at that potential threat (and also look for others in the area).
If the possible threat proves innocuous, or is simply a false alarm, they can dial
back down into relaxed awareness and continue on their way. If, on the other
hand, the potential threat becomes a probable threat, seeing it in advance
allows a person to take actions to avoid it. In such a case they may never need
to elevate to high alert, since they have avoided the problem at an early
stage.
However, once a person is in a
state of focused awareness they are far better prepared to handle the jump to
high alert if the threat does change from potential to actual -- if the three
guys lurking on the corner do start advancing and look as if they are reaching
for weapons.
Of course, when a person
knowingly ventures into an area that is very dangerous, it is only prudent to
practice focused awareness while in that area. For example, if there is a
specific section of highway where a lot of improvised explosive devices
detonate and ambushes occur, or if there is a part of a city that is controlled
(and patrolled) by criminal gangs -- and the area cannot be avoided for
whatever reason -- it would be prudent to practice a heightened level of
awareness when in those areas. An increased level of awareness is also prudent
when engaging in common or everyday tasks, such as visiting an ATM or walking
to the car in a dark parking lot. When the time of potential danger has passed,
it is then easy to shift back to a state of relaxed awareness.
People can hone their
situational awareness ability by practicing some simple drills. For example,
you can consciously move your awareness level up to a focused state for short periods
of time during the day. Some examples of this can include identifying all the
exits when you enter a building, counting the number of people in a restaurant
or subway car, or noting which cars take the same turns in traffic. One trick
that many law enforcement officers are taught is to take a look at the people
around them and attempt to figure out their stories, in other words, what they
do for a living, their mood, what they are focused on and what it appears they
are preparing to do that day, based merely on observation. Employing such
simple focused-awareness drills will train a person's mind to be aware of these
things almost subconsciously when the person is in a relaxed state of
awareness.
This situational awareness
process also demonstrates the importance of people being familiar with their
environment and the dangers that are present there. Such awareness permits some
threats to be avoided and others to be guarded against when you must venture
into a dangerous area.
Not everyone is forced to live
in the type of intense threat environment currently found in places like
Mogadishu, Juarez or Kandahar. Nonetheless, average citizens all over the world
face many different kinds of threats on a daily basis -- from common thieves
and assailants to criminals and mentally disturbed individuals intending to
conduct violent acts to militants wanting to carry out large-scale attacks.
As we noted two weeks ago,
some of the steps required to conduct these attacks must be accomplished in a
manner that makes the actions visible to the potential victim and outside
observers -- if people are looking for such actions. It is at these
junctures that people practicing situational awareness can detect these attack
steps, avoid the danger themselves and alert the authorities to protect others.
As the jihadist threat
continues to devolve from one based on al
Qaeda the group to one based on grassroots cells and lone wolves, grassroots
defenders -- ordinary citizens practicing good situational awareness -- become
more important than ever before.
Scott Stewart, Stratfor, March
15, 2012
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