For some peculiar reason, the
political commentariat this week are bending their bulging brains towards the
question of which one of the progressive Democrats currently angling for a
presidential bid next year will catch the brass ring. We have a year and a few
days to go until Election Day, 2020, and nine months until the Democrat Party
convention when the final decision on a candidate will be made; I speculate
that the fierce urgency of defeating Orange Man Bad has a lot to do with so
many hopefuls running early and often, and the overwhelming media interest in
their assorted prospects.
I can’t claim ownership of a
finely-tuned predictive crystal ball, or have any informants within the inner
party, but I have been following the political scene as reflected in the
crazy-house mirror of the internet since about 2002, and before that through a
variety of print publications, and over time one does develop a sense of how
things may develop with regard to next years’ presidential campaign.
First – I don’t see Joe Biden
going anywhere save a semi-dignified retirement. It’s not just that he displays
a degree of mild senility, an almost complete lack of any concrete positive
achievement as a career legislator, a documented record of getting
uncomfortably handsy with women and kids in public spaces, and a jaw-dropping
degree of corruption tied to his substance-addled son; it’s that the national
establishment news media appear to be declining to park a veil of discretion
over all of the above. It’s almost as if someone has put out the word through
the successor to JournoList that it’s OK now to rake ol’ Slow Joe over the
coals.
One might suspect that the
national establishment news media is still hoping for the Dowager Duchess of
Chappaqua, Felonia von Pantsuit, AKA Hillary Clinton herself to take to the
hustings once more. She certainly has been making all the appropriate noises of
late about her eagerness to take on Orange Man Bad, but I don’t think she has a
hope in hell, even if the establishment national news media (and the entertainment
media, too) have a dispiriting tendency to look at her unlovely corpus with
worship in their eyes. She is old, sick, drunken, fat, not charismatic, and
busted. Resentful as all get-out, as her presidential apotheosis was snatched
from her twice already. All she managed in her long career was to remain
married to another superficially charming and charismatically skilled political
actor and get four of her State Department functionaries or contractors killed
in Benghazi during her tenure as Sec State. Pity that none of that charm
and skill managed to rub off on her. (I could make a very crude comment
here regarding Bill and Hillary Clinton’s marriage and the intimacies involved,
but then I would prefer to be tasteful. And also refrain from nauseating readers.) So;
not Hillary, although the Old Guard among the establishment and entertainment
media might have a go at supporting her. Just for old times’ sake.
I honestly don’t see the
Democrat Party operatives being sufficiently insane/intent on self-immolation
to nominate Bernie Sanders, the die-hard old Commie, and all-around useless old
fart – especially not after his recent health problems.
In no particular order of
appearance – next on my list of possibles is the pretend-Hispanic Robert
Francis O’Rourke, who for political purposes, goes by the fond diminutive of
“Beto”, although one can frankly wonder WTF? He’s about as Hispanic as I am (being
of provably Anglo-English-Distantly German descent). I assume that lifetime
proximity confers a degree of knowledge of another culture (it certainly has
with mine) but all that Robert Francis has going for him is a Kennedyesque
physical appearance, and a gift for channeling the nastier attitudes and
ambitions of the prog characters in this dystopic novel series. Maybe the Dems will go for him – but he has been so far
out on the fringe that I can’t help thinking that those few in the inner
circles are regretfully chalking a ‘no’ and moving on.
Kamala Harris. She does have
the “female person of color” privilege going for her, but it is bad enough to
be appealed to vote for a woman just because she was the spouse of a formidable
politician: Now we are supposed to vote for a woman just because she got her
start as the mistress of a formidable politician?
Pete Buttigieg, the mayor of
South Bend, Indiana, besides a risible surname and a morsel of gay
privilege (as well as having served in the military) is just
Beto Light. And South Bend appears to be a crime-ridden pit of civic despair.
If Mayor Buttigieg had been able to do anything positive about that, then he
might have been qualified for a higher office, not that this ever stopped the
ambitious before. Otherwise, a truckload of fail.
Cory Booker, formerly a mayor
of Newark, New Jersey (another crime-ridden pit of civic despair);
a fiercely heterosexual person of color, and as far left as a summer day is
long. Pete Buttigieg with a dark tan.
There is persistent
speculation in some quarters that Michelle Obama might be a last-minute
surprise addition to the Democrat Party slate, but I honestly can’t see this.
She already has the celebrity, and the more than generous bennies of a former
First Lady and has never struck me as being a really nose-to-the-grindstone
individual. Oh, sure, as long as it was parties and exotic trips to distant
places, rubbing elbows with the Beautiful People, and flaunting awful and
unflattering clothes, but actual dull, draining work, which campaigning and
being chief executive would entail … no.
Tulsi Gabbard is a distant
outside shot: attractive, well-spoken, and speaks her mind. She is also a
military veteran, as lefty as they come, but curiously does not seem to despise
conservatives and those residents of flyover country, which is probably why she
is a very distant possibility, after Elizabeth Warren … who is the one I
believe will be nominated. (With a VP who is whoever comes in second
after her, at the convention.)
Finally: Mrs. Warren, sometime
Cherokee, long-time law prof, and a prevaricator of some distinction, not that
she is unusual in that regard as a politician. A moderately-rabid leftist like
all the above, she has female privilege, is attractive and energetic for her
age, and in better health that Bernie, Biden and the Dowager Duchess. She also
appears to be well-focused and accustomed to working towards a goal. In spite
of her embarrassing series of missteps, gaffes and outright untruths, should
she be anointed as the One, the national establishment media will obediently
hitch themselves to her campaign, and pull it, juggernaut-like, through the
streets of the cities, tactfully veiling over her claims of being Cherokee, and
fired for being pregnant. The national establishment media is all about
mole-hilling the misdeeds of the Democratic Party leadership, while making a mountain
of anything about a conservative that they don’t like. That and massive levels
of ballot-box stuffing, fraudulent voters, and precincts which turn in more
ballots than are people known to live there. Your thought and speculations?
Sgt. Mom, Chicago Boyz, October
24th, 2019 at 3:15 pm
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