sábado, 20 de agosto de 2011

The Economist's Big Mac Index

Imagem: AD
How Far from Fair Value is Your Currency?
The Economist's Big Mac Index (July 28th, 2011 Big Mac prices) valued at today's exchange rates

CountryBig Mac PriceImplied PPP rate +Today's
Exchange Rate
1 USD =
Over(+) / Under(-) Valuation against the USD, % ++
in Local Currencyin US dollars
United States$ 4.074.0700---1.0000---
ArgentinaPeso 20.04.78664.924.178317.7512
AustraliaA$ 4.564.73471.120.963116.2911
BrazilReal 9.505.92422.341.603645.9217
Britain£ 2.393.94520.590.6058-2.6081
CanadaC$ 4.734.78021.160.989517.2309
ChilePeso 18503.9429455469.200-3.0264
ChinaYuan 14.72.30023.606.3907-43.6681
ColombiaPeso 84004.682820661793.8115.1738
Czech RepublicKoruna 69.34.057817.117.07840.1265
DenmarkDK 28.55.48787.015.193334.9816
EgyptPound 14.12.35543.475.9862-42.0333
Euro area€ 3.444.93471.180.697169.2727
Hong KongHK$ 15.11.93623.717.7986-52.4274
HungaryForint 7603.9872187190.608-1.8929
IndiaRupee 84.01.822520.746.0908-55.0887
IndonesiaRupiah 225342.627555438576.33-35.3686
IsraelShekel 15.94.44303.913.57879.2576
Japan¥ 3204.182878.776.50452.8698
MalaysiaRinggit 7.202.41121.772.9861-40.7254
MexicoPeso 32.02.60237.8712.2967-35.9991
New ZealandNZ$ 5.104.19131.251.21682.7285
NorwayKroner 45.08.216911.15.4765102.6842
PakistanRupee 2052.351250.587.1892-42.0800
PeruNew Sol 10.03.62082.462.7618-10.9277
PhilippinesPeso 1182.765829.042.6638-32.0267
PolandZloty 8.632.95502.122.9205-27.4097
RussiaRouble 75.02.572218.529.1583-36.5532
Saudi ArabiaRiyal 10.02.66632.463.7505-34.4087
SingaporeS\$ 4.413.63801.081.2122-10.9058
South AfricaRand 19.452.69634.787.2137-33.7372
South KoreaWon 37003.41079101084.83-16.1159
SwedenSKr 48.47.527211.96.430085.0700
SwitzerlandSFr 6.58.22161.600.7906102.3779
TaiwanNT$ 75.02.539718.529.5307-37.3533
ThailandBaht 70.02.338817.229.9301-42.5328
TurkeyLire 6.53.63251.601.7894-10.5846

+ The Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) rate is the local Big Mac price divided by its price in the United States. Prices and their corresponding implied PPP rates are the latest figures available from The Economist.
++ The Over/Under valuation against the dollar is calculated as follows using OANDA's latest rates: 100 x (PPP - Exchange Rate) / Exchange Rate


What is the Big Mac Index?
The Economist uses the price of the ubiquitous McDonald's meal to calculate the "Big Mac Index", a guide showing how far from fair value different world currencies are. The Big Mac theory (a.k.a. purchasing-power parity, or PPP) says that exchange rates should even out the prices of Big Macs sold across the world.
The implied PPP shown in the table is the exchange rate that would make a Big Mac cost the same abroad as it does in the USA. When you compare actual exchange rates with the implied PPP rate, you will see that most currencies are trading way above or below the US dollar, meaning that they are over- or undervalued. Keep in mind that PPP is a long-term indicator, pointing to where currencies ought to go in the future. (It's also best to use it only to measure currencies between countries that are at a similar stage of development.)
How to read this table
If a Big Mac costs €3.38 in countries that use the euro and $3.73 in the US, then the implied PPP rate is 3.38/3.73 = 0.91. If the actual exchange rate for the euro is lower that the implied PPP rate, the Big Mac theory suggests that the value of the euro might go up until it reaches the implied PPP rate. If the actual exchange rate is higher, then you might expect the euro to go down until it hits the implied PPP rate. The percentage of under- and over-valuation from the current exchange rate is shown in the table.
Colaboração: Hilda Torres

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