Andrew Korybko
Russia’s reported minimum goal per the “Spirit of Anchorage” is obtaining full control over Donbass.
Zelensky published a highly
incendiary open letter to Putin last week requesting a bilateral
meeting for ending the Ukrainian
Conflict by freezing the frontlines with no Ukrainian concessions
whatsoever at all. Putin rejected
this request with good reason, but not before clarifying that it was
already discreetly conveyed to him by a member of Russia’s business community
who was earlier invited to Kiev, where Zelensky asked him to pass along his
proposal. Zelensky later
confirmed that it was Roman
Abramovich.
Putin then explained to his
audience at the plenary session of the latest St. Petersburg International
Economic Forum (SPIEF) that, “The sole objective, from the Ukrainian
perspective, is to impede the progress of our Armed Forces, nothing more. We
require agreements that endure not for mere months, not for half a year, but
for a significant historical period.” Only once everything is agreed to, he
said, would he then consider meeting with Zelensky to sign the resultant peace
deal.
Putin also referenced the Starobelsk dormitory bombing, which is believed to have been carried out by Ukraine (deliberately according to Russia or due to faulty intelligence as others claim), telling the businessman who Zelensky confirmed to be Abramovich, “What does this signify? They ask for a meeting whilst perpetrating such horrendous crimes as the murder of children. What is the implication of this?” He then concluded that Zelensky’s rude letter was meant to make such a meeting impossible in any case.
The day before, Putin held
a meeting
with the heads of international news agencies in which he confirmed
that, at the Anchorage Summit, “certain questions were put before Russia so
that we could agree on certain compromises. Russia agrees to the compromises
discussed in Anchorage. It is necessary that Ukraine also agrees to make them.
Then, the conflict will be resolved naturally and quickly.” An RT contributor
earlier described the
deal as Russia ceasing hostilities if Ukraine withdraws from Donbass.
Although the special operation didn’t
initially have any territorial goals, they became part of its officially
envisaged endgame after September 2022’s referenda led to four new regions
joining Russia, including the two that comprise Donbass (the Donetsk and
Lugansk People’s Republics). That pair are the most emotive of the four due to
being where the Ukrainian Civil War began right after “EuroMaidan” so it stands
to reason that their full incorporation into Russia is the bare minimum that
Putin must achieve.
This goal is more relatable
to the masses than reforming the European security architecture, while
Ukraine’s full denazification appears further away than ever after Zelensky
recently doubled down on it by glorifying the Volhynia Genocide’s culprits at
the state level. Accordingly, the special operation is expected to continue
till at least all of Donbass is under Russia’s control, which likely entails
going it alone without Chinese support and possibly “escalating to de-escalate”
as forecast here and here.
All in all, Putin did indeed reject Zelensky’s request for a bilateral meeting with good reason, which will likely prolong the conflict for an indeterminate length of time if Trump doesn’t coerce Zelensky into withdrawing from Donbass or the frontlines don’t collapse first. Former top Russian spy Andrey Bezrukov shared his assessment at SPIEF that Russia is in a “new war” that might last a few decades, but he also shared some proposals for what Russia should thus do, which function as an action plan in this event.
Andrew Korybko, Substack, June 11, 2026
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