Andrew Korybko
AI-assisted infowars could psychologically sever the
former USSR’s Turkic populations from Russia
FSB chief Alexander
Bortnikov warned during a recent meeting of the Commonwealth of Independent
States (CIS) Council of Heads of Security Agencies and Special Services that
“The West seeks to disrupt integration processes and undermine stability in CIS
countries from within, making nations forget their shared history and trying to
pit them against each other in order to take the situation here under control.”
This is being advanced in part through new Western “digital laboratories” in
the CIS states.
In his words, “According to the
information we have, the Western intelligence community is behind programs
aimed at establishing a network of digital labs across the Commonwealth, tasked
with collecting and analyzing, using AI technologies, standard behavioral profiles
of the population, identifying areas of social tension, and modeling public
responses to various external factors, including government actions…One of the
goals being to implement adaptable scenarios of color
revolutions.”
This was foreseen in 2017: ”Russia is accused of ‘exploit[ing] marketing techniques to target individuals based upon their activities, interests, opinions, and values’ in order to ‘disseminate misinformation and propaganda’, but there’s nothing stopping the US from doing this either, nor in crafting the Holy Grail of Hybrid War by ‘integrat[ing] information derived from personal and commercial sources with intelligence collection and data analytic capabilities based on AI and machine learning’”.
The purpose would be “to
fully maximize its outreach efficiency via algorithm-created infowar packages
custom-tailored for each targeted demographic.” Moreover, “Just as Russia and
China are accused of ‘us[ing] propaganda and other means to try to discredit
democracy’, so too could the US do the same against their governing systems by
‘exploiting information, democratic media freedoms, and international
institutions’”.
This could “undermine their
legitimacy while championing its own values, principles, and de-facto state
ideology.” As applied towards the CIS as Bortnikov just warned, this “Holy
Grail of Hybrid War” will most likely be weaponized to promote Pan-Turkism among
the CIS members of the Turkic-led “Organization of
Turkic States” (OTS), which apart from Azerbaijan,
also includes Russia’s CSTO allies Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan. The immediate
goal could be to “make them forget their shared history” with Russia.
The secondary goal might
then be to get Kazakhstan “to
defect” from the CSTO, emboldened as it may be by
NATO’s new military logistics corridor to the region whose
anti-Russian strategic consequences were warned about here,
prior to the ultimate goal of rekindling “Balkanization” processes inside of
Russia. That dark scenario was elaborated on here and
concerns the weaponization of Kazakhstan’s self-declaration as the Golden
Horde’s successor for sparking secular Muslim insurgencies in relevant regions.
It’s possible that Kazakhstan’s Data Center Valley project in one of its Russian-bordering regions, which will be the largest in Central Asia upon completion, could be weaponized by the West for advancing these three interconnected goals following the model pioneered by Armenia’s American AI data center. As was recently warned here, delayed implementation of Russia’s Monroe Doctrine towards the south “risks empowering NATO to blackmail Russia on pain of a major war along its entire southern periphery.”
Andrew Korybko, Substack, June 9, 2026
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