THE Air Transport Rating Agency (ATRA) has named what it considers to be the ten safest airlines in the
world. These are mainly American and European carriers, which makes the ranking
quite different from those focusing on customer service and usually dominated
by Asian and Middle Eastern airlines. Indeed, the Sydney Morning Heraldpoints
out that no airline is in both the ATRA top ten and the top ten in the Skytrax awards,
which recognise “front-line product and service standards”.
ATRA came into being earlier
this year, and this is the first rating in what it intends to be an annual
series. It compiled its list not only from historic accident rates, but by
assessing airlines on 15 criteria such
as net financial result, average fleet age, in-house maintenance capability and
dedicated full-flight simulators. It trumpets a similarity between its
technique and that used by the World Health Organisation. Gulliver is no
statistician; when he read that "[e]ach of the 15 criteria represents one
dimension, and all dimensions are projected into one or more dimensions to
construct the composite indicator", he swallowed hard. If any reader can
offer a useful assessment of the method, please do so below.
It is interesting to consider
how to respond to the rating. Would anyone choose, say, British Airways over
Singapore Airlines because of the former's place in ATRA's list? After all,
Singapore is considered a safe carrier. Flyers might, though, choose Singapore
ahead of BA for its service. I suspect passengers are more used to the notion
that the world's leading airlines offer varying degrees of comfort, than that
they offer varying degrees of safety. ATRA's work might change that, but it's
the accidents that stick in people's minds.
ATRA's ten safest airlines (in
alphabetical order):
Air
France-KLM,
AMR
Corporation (American Airlines, American Eagles),
British
Airways,
Continental
Airlines,
Delta
Air Lines,
Japan
Airlines,
Lufthansa,
Southwest
Airlines,
United
Airlines,
US
Airways
The Economist
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